Miner Expectations …

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

With the favorable showing in Miners today, I think we should review our expectations.

Starting with the daily chart:

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

The Miners formed a swing low last Thursday.
The reversal today set the daily cycle trend line.
The Miners broke above the declining cycle trend line today.
That confirms Wednesday as day 5 of the new daily cycle.

The Miners are about to also confirm a new intermediate cycle

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

The weekly chart already printed a weekly swing low.
The Miners need just a bit more strength to make a clear and convincing break above the declining weekly trend line to declare a new weekly cycle.

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

The Miners are currently in month 11 of the yearly cycle, which is right in the timing band to print a yearly cycle low.

The Miners are also ready to print a 3 year low.
One of the markers for a three year low is the extended monthly sell off preceding that low.

Notice in 2008, (1) the last 3 year low, the HUI declined 6 out of 8 months into its three year low.

Notice currently, (2) The HUI has declined 6 out of the past nine months.

And the HUI currently sits at month 43 and is “due” to print a three year low.

Considering a new daily cycle has formed and a new intermediate cycle has all but confirmed a new cycle, it looks likely that a new yearly low will print as well.
To sum it up, we are in the middle of a major low for the Miners that marks a daily, weekly, yearly and three year low.

Going forward I expect right translated daily and weekly cycles until the dollar
prints its three year low.

This presents us with a Miner Opportunity

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

10 responses to “Miner Expectations …”

  1. bigblue Avatar
    bigblue

    Kudos on the call, miners have been leading this move since last Wednesday. Great synopsis.

  2. jeff Avatar
    jeff

    LM is the ic low for gold in?

  3. Bob Kudla (@Bobloveshawaii) Avatar

    Hey Likes, Bob from the IM blog. you may want to put a link to your new site from your old one. People keep clicking on the url but it does not send you anywhere. Great report.

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Bob,

      That’s a good idea and an easy fix — done.

  4. Jack Dog Avatar
    Jack Dog

    Likesmoney,
    Really do appreciate how you clear up this muddy water and bring a sense of clearity to the market for us that follow your reports.
    The dollar has been the market driver for ever and a day and doubt that that will ever change. What is currently happening in Europe has the potential to keep the water so muddy that I believe you have done more of a service for nothing than many who get paid for nothing. You have guided myself and I believe many others through this quicksand for quite some time. Realize that all of this sounds selfish, so take care of you and yours.
    Off the air for a while, they tell me that I have another rusty pipe that needs some work.
    Thanks Again,
    Jack Dog

    1. jeff Avatar
      jeff

      take care jack. Hope your back soon and well.

    2. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Jack Dog,

      I pray that things go well and get well soon.

  5. alamanjani Avatar
    alamanjani

    Likesmoney, again thanks for all you are doing!

    I have one (not that important) comment. I see you are using logarithmic charts for PB charts. Since bullish percent charts are only oscillating between 0 and 100 I think it would be more appropriate to use regular charts that are not distorted toward the bottom.

    I’m not saying this because then would be trend line drawn a little different and breached already yesterday. It doesn’t matter. But 0 to 100 chart should probably have equal spacing for every 10%?

    Anyway, no big deal, just a thought.
    I’m learning a ton from you, thank you for your generosity.

    A

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      alamanjani,

      I see what you mean.

      It does show a trend line break sooner, which may or may not be a good thing.

      I am not sure how I feel about it, I’ll have to play around with it.

      Thanks

  6. ALEX Avatar
    ALEX

    LM

    Miners are leading GOLD again …and your cycle work on HUI has been leading the cycle guys. You have covered HUI very well with cycle analysisl…cudo’s to you : ]

    JACK Dog –

    I saw and replied to your post in yesterdays comments regarding Adam H. Best wishes for a thorough and speedy recovery from whatever is ailing you!

    ALEX

Leave a comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.