Dollar Update …

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The dollar formed a swing high today.

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This conforms with our expectation of the intermediate cycle being in decline and the dollar forming left translated daily cycles.

However there is support at the 80 level.
I would not be surprised to see the dollar tap dance here for a few days.

The support at the 80 level can be clearly seen on the weekly chart

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The current weekly cycle peaked on week 9 and has been contained by the declining yearly cycle trend line.

It looks like if the 80 level is surrendered, the dollar is destined to test the previous cycle low of 78.60

Should the dollar break above the declining (red) yearly cycle trend line that would indicate that September was the (early) yearly cycle low.

Now, we are waiting on a break …

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7 responses to “Dollar Update …”

  1. vorfahrt Avatar
    vorfahrt

    Thanks LM. The likelyhood for the bearish US dollar scenario definitively got bigger today with the swing high. Since stocks are also extended there may be brief break at hand.

  2. Pamela Avatar
    Pamela

    Thank you LM for the Dollar Update.

  3. IheartMrs.Seaver Avatar
    IheartMrs.Seaver

    Thanks, LM

  4. likesbullmarkets Avatar
    likesbullmarkets

    is it just me or does the eye on the dollar pic above look like Ben Bernankes eye. Naa couldn’t be.

  5. vorfahrt Avatar
    vorfahrt

    Both the Euro and Aussie are about to break through important resistance lines here. It looks more and more like the US$ down everything else up scenario comes true. Unless everything turns sharply her this is a done deal.

  6. vorfahrt Avatar
    vorfahrt

    US$ Index definitively below the 80.00 level.

  7. vorfahrt Avatar
    vorfahrt

    OK, this is a done deal. Some backing and filling will ensue, but the die is cast.

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