Gentleman, Start Your Engines …er, I mean Presses

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“The central bank announced today that it embark on another round of Treasury purchases of $45 billion a month to replace the expiring Operation Twist program. For those keeping score at home, that’s $85 billion per month of fresh demand in the government debt markets, which works out to $1 trillion a year.”

Source: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/market-unimpressed-qe4-thresholds-half-life-fed-easing-200843621.html

The previous daily cycle low printed last Wednesday.
The dollar’s daily cycle peaked on Friday and formed a swing high on Tuesday, day 5..

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Today saw the dollar close below the important 80 level.
A break below last Wednesday’s low of 79.56 produces a failed daily cycle.

Bonds already printed a failed daily cycle today.

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Bonds printed a daily cycle low last week on Monday.
Then it peaked last Thursday and today it crashed below last Monday’s low.
At day 7, bonds could trend lower for the next 2 – 3 weeks.

The Miners (finally) responded.

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The Miners printed a daily cycle low last Thursday and formed a swing low on Friday.

Still, we were waiting on a beak of the declining cycle trend line before declaring a new daily cycle.

Today the Miners delivered a clear and convincing trend line break despite the fact that The Nas closed in the red and the S&P was flat.

I think that Bernanke’s message today was …

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3 responses to “Gentleman, Start Your Engines …er, I mean Presses”

  1. robert Avatar
    robert

    LM
    BB delivered but the markets sure were not impressed–most finished down and gold looked awful today after being up barely finished positive–
    what is your take on gold—seems a cap is being placed on gold around $1720–just can’t seem to get much going—even today with more QE and the dollar down=

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Robert,

      Friday was day 24 for the daily gold cycle.
      Monday gold formed a swing low and was accompanied by a trend line break.
      Gold is in its 2nd daily cycle of the current intermediate cycle.
      Gold is likely having a bottom test.
      Unless Friday’s intra-day low 1684 is taken out, this is just noise.

      Both the Miners and the CCI had declining cycle trend line breaks yesterday confirming a new daily cycle.

  2. Jack Dog Avatar
    Jack Dog

    Likesmoney,
    Somebody somewhere is not playing fair! Gold under $1,695.00?????
    Jack Dog

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