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Let’s kick off the weekend report with the weekly dollar chart.
The dollar just completed week 8 of the weekly cycle.
The weekly chart is characterized by a triangle consolidation that broke to the down side.
Embedded in the consolidation is the current intermediate cycle.
The current weekly cycle has a week 2 peak and a clear and convincing break of the intermediate cycle trend line which signals that the weekly cycle has entered its primary decline.
70% of left translated weekly cycles find their lows between weeks 14 & 20.
That means we can expect the dollar to trend lower for another 6 – 12 weeks. Which is probably 2 more daily cycles after the current daily cycle concludes.
It looks pretty likely that the dollar will break below the previous weekly cycle low, producing a failed intermediate cycle.
A failed intermediate cycle should lead into a yearly cycle low.
Friday was day 17 for the dollar’s daily cycle.
The dollar tried rallying late Thursday night but was soundly rejected by the declining cycle trend line.
At this point it seems that the dollar is destined to break below the previous daily cycle low.
The dollar’s daily cycle is 18 -25 days, suggesting that we could see the dollar print a low over the next 8 days.
Because the weekly cycle has already entered its primary decline, any subsequent daily cycles left in the current weekly cycles should be left translated and peak before day 10.
We see the yearly cycle is currently on month 11.
I believe that the dollar will print its yearly cycle low at the end of this intermediate cycle, some time in the next 6 to 12 weeks. That suggests printing a yearly cycle low at 12 – 14 months for the yearly cycle.
Stocks
The daily equity cycle stands at day 13 on Friday.
Wednesday saw equities break through the declining cycle trend line declaring a new daily cycle.
I would think that the daily equity cycle will see a half cycle high in the next 8 days.
(This would be about the time the dollar is expected to print a daily cycle low.)
The weekly equity chart shows a clear and convincing trend line break at week 28.
Equities formed a weekly swing low this week. That will place the equity weekly cycle at week 2 of the new intermediate cycle.
Now I know that equities did not print a failed daily cycle for the previous daily cycle. I have seen an example of a dollar intermediate cycle not printing a failed daily cycle for the concluding daily cycle. I think that the rally was so strong and powerful, that not only were the daily cycle corrections shallow but so was the intermediate cycle correction.
The yearly equity cycle stands at month 6.
It is currently running resistance at a significant pivot.
With a new intermediate cycle in hand, it is very likely that equities will break through this resistance level and make another leg higher before rolling over into a yearly cycle low.
Gold
There are several different interpretations to gold’s daily cycle.
What is apparent is that gold has clear and convincing trend line break signaling a new daily cycle.
This was week 17 for Gold’s weekly cycle.
Gold has a clear and convincing trend line break.
A break above 1667.10 confirms a new weekly gold cycle.
Gold appears to have a new daily cycle in hand and will very likely print a weekly swing low next week confirming a new intermediate cycle.
That helps to affirm that December was the yearly cycle low.
I think that it is safe to say the gold will leave the 1600 level behind.
The Miners
The Miners printed a daily cycle low on Monday of this week.
Wednesday saw the Miners print a swing low.
Thursday and Friday the Miners gave us a clear trend line break with some follow through.
I think that it is safe to say that Friday was day 4 for the Miners.
The Miners daily cycle runs for 12 – 17 days, suggesting 2 to 3 weeks before the next low.
The intermediate cycle low may have printed this week.
My studies show that 73% of the time, the Miners print a weekly low between weeks 14 – 17.
This past week was week 17 and the Miners left behind a reversal weekly candle.
A break above 452.05 next week prints a weekly swing low next.
Also, with any bit of strength, the Miners will break above the declining weekly trend line.
Miners are currently on month 10 of the yearly cycle .
They usually run 12- 14 months for the yearly cycle.
The past three yearly cycles stretched from 15 to 17 months.
Taking into consideration that a new intermediate cycle is about to begin, I think the odds are likely that the Miners will print an early yearly cycle low.
A monthly swing low and a break of the declining monthly cycle trend line will confirm this.
Since the Miners are printing a lower monthly low in April,
The earliest the Miners will be able to print a monthly swing low will be May.
Here is one more observation on the Miners.
They tend to follow a three year cycle.
They can be as short as 19 months.
They tend to run about 36 months.
Currently we are at 42 months, with a bullish monthly reversal in the process of being printed.
Oil
The yearly Oil cycle sits at 6 months
Oil appears to have set the yearly cycle trend line.
The recent yearly cycles have been stretching from 14 to 17 months suggesting more upside.
Oil appears to be on week 2 of a new weekly cycle.
There is a swing low in place and we are awaiting a break of the declining weekly trend line to confirm a new weekly cycle.
The CRB
OK people, this is starting to get interesting …
Friday saw the CRB deliver a clear and convincing trend line break and confirming a new daily cycle.
The CRB daily cycle stands at day 4.
The cycle typically runs 20 – 25 days from trough to trough.
The Weekly CRB cycle count stands at week 19.
The CRB printed a lower weekly low.
The earliest a weekly low can be printed is next week.
With a break above 560.51, the CRB will form a weekly swing low and break above the declining weekly trend line declaring a new weekly cycle.
The monthly CRB printed its 3 year low in December.
It appears to have back tested that low.
With a new daily and weekly cycle in hand, the monthly CRB will likely leave behind the back test and make an assault on the declining monthly trend line.
In summary,
Equities and commodities appear to have printed intermediate bottoms and the dollar’s intermediate cycle has entered its primary decline.
The ride may be rough, but we have the wind at our backs and we need to hang on.
Cycle Trading 
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