A Miner Surprise …

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Equities broke up through the declining cycle trend line on Wednesday declaring a new daily cycle.

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The daily cycle low was actually set on April 10, with a swing low two days later.
The trend line breaks confirms a new daily cycle with the S&P up 1.36 % today.

And Ben said nothing to cause the dollar to rally…

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Wednesday was day 15 for the dollar.
It was a possibility that Bernanke could have said something to cause the dollar to bottom early.
That did not appear to happen.
So the dollar made a lower low and is now threatening to break below its intermediate cycle trend line.

Such a break would surely boost equities and miners.

While equities where up nicely today, miners did better.

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The Miners were up 2.76% today forming a swing off the low set on Monday.
With any strength on Thursday, they will form a clear trend line break.

Below is a chart identifying the daily cycles over the past year for the HUI.

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The timing band for the HUI to print a low is between 14 – 19 days.
Monday was day 16 making today day 2.

Now the miners have a wide timing band to print a weekly cycle low.
They print 73% of their weekly lows between weeks 14 & 20.

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It does appear that a low was been printed for the current weekly cycle
The earliest to confirm this would be by printing a swing low next week.

Getting back to the dollar, if the dollar breaks below the intermediate cycle trend line, then I think that we will have a real gold rush …

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6 responses to “A Miner Surprise …”

  1. Eddie Avatar
    Eddie

    Thank you for the cycles chart on the miners. Just today I was wishing I had one. LOL! Great report!

  2. ALEX Avatar
    ALEX

    I second what EDDIE just said…I was wondering if anyone knew anything about MINERS Cycle Wise too, and this was a nice confidence booster : ] After all, the saying IS…”Timing is Everything!”

  3. ALEX Avatar
    ALEX

    I meant to ask…the dollar appears to have broken down overnight to 78.83ish (Breaking the trend line). Do you count that trend line break, or do you look for this to happen during N.Y. Mkts timing?

    Thanks

    ALEX

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      I count it.

  4. […] 145 Originally Posted by Mickette Morning to all readers! Yesterday I sent a graphic to show you my level expectation for the euro currency. EURUSD(5 Stunden)20120425131127.jpg Today, as we can see, we have nearly reached this fixed goal. Have a very close eye on this, it could be the time to short the euro. EURUSD(5 Stunden)20120426110947.jpg The thing that concerns me, particularly….is that I do not see the Euro falling to these levels without equities making a sharp correction too….and the dollar screaming back up there…none of which is good for the metals. If we do see some upside follow-through today on the miners, then we should expect at least a week of upside based on their cyclic behavior. I am taking this from LM's nice chart. (not sure how to copy it from his blog so I'll post the link again..you will have to scroll down a bit). A Miner Surprise … | Cycle Trading […]

  5. […] Link to LM's Cycles Chart for the Miners I wanted to post this for further discussion/future study. The link is to LM's Cycle Trader blog for 4-25-2012. Scroll down to see the annotated HUI chart with the cycles marked for the last year. Thanks to LM for this…very timely chart to share! A Miner Surprise … | Cycle Trading […]

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