The 9/06/13 Weekend Report Preview

September 8, 2013

Friday was day 13 for the daily dollar cycle and the dollar formed a swing high off the day 12 peak.

While a swing high does not guarantee a cycle peak, a cycle cannot begin its primary decline without one. So the question is if this swing high is significant?

There is no way to tell for certain if this swing high is significant. However, we do see that the dollar is coiling and it often occurs at a cycle peak.

Here are some other examples of the dollar coiling before declining into its primary cycle decline.

So if the dollar breaks lower out of the coil, the odds are good that it has entered its primary daily cycle decline.

Stocks

The daily equity cycle peaked on day 28 and looks to have bottomed on day 46.

While stocks have trended higher, we still lack confirmation of a new daily cycle. A break above the declining cycle trend line will confirm day 46 as the daily cycle low.

Assuming that day 46 marked the daily cycle low, our expectation is to see this daily cycle form as a left translated cycle. The 156 S.O.S. print on Friday for the SPY seems to agree.

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6 responses to “The 9/06/13 Weekend Report Preview”

HighRev

September 8, 2013

156 S.O.S. print on Friday for the SPY ????

Reply
1. likesmoneystudies
  
  September 8, 2013
  
  Actually, it was 158 million.
  
  Reply
bcd1951gmail

September 8, 2013

I cannot find the email that gave the September password. Can you please send it to me again? Sorry. Bruce Daugherty

On Sun, Sep 8, 2013 at 3:50 AM, Cycle Trading

Reply
1. likesmoneystudies
  
  September 8, 2013
  
  I just sent it, please check your email.
  
  LM
  
  Reply
dennis500

September 10, 2013

As a new subscriber I have some questions please:
What is S.O.S,?
What is terminal weekly cycle?
What is left translator cycle please?

Reply
1. likesmoneystudies
  
  September 10, 2013
  
  SOS — Selling on Strength
  
  http://wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-mflppg-moneyflow.html
  
  There is also something called Buying on Weakness (BOW)
  
  These are two signals that I monitor for SPY, and to a lesser extent – GLD.
  The SOS or BOW tend to show up near intermediate turning points. BOW for an intermediate low, SOS for the topping on an intermediate cycle. There can be some BOW & SOS around daily cycle turning points as well.
  
  The bigger the number, the more significant.
  
  The terminal weekly cycle is another way of saying the final intermediate cycle.
  
  (I will use weekly interchangeably with intermediate)
  
  A left translator cycle is probably my auto correct 🙂
  
  A left translated cycle is a cycle that peaks left of center.
  Left translated cycles peaking left of center give more time to the downside.
  Left translated cycles have a greater likelihood of failing (breaking below the previous low)
  
  Right translated cycles peak to the right of center.
  Right translated cycles peaking after the cycle mid point gives more time for the asset to raise.
  Right translated cycles have a greater likelihood of printing higher highs.
  
  Reply