The 12/24 Morning Update

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In the Weekend Report we looked at the daily dollar cycle.
We discussed that we are likely seeing just an oversold bounce.
This bounce should be contained by the declining cycle trend line.

It appears to be unfolding as we discussed …

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In the overnight the dollar did manage to set a higher high.
But it was rejected by the declining cycle trend line.

Please notice how the Schaff Trend Cycle never believed that this oversold bounce had legs.
And also notice how RSI turned lower off the trend line…

And gold finally appears to resuming its normal inverse relation with the dollar.

We discussed in the Weekend Report that gold would need to break above 1660 in order to form a swing low.

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Gold has done so in the overnight.

While gold can rally in the face of a rising dollar, gold seems to make its best gains as the dollar tanks.

We still need to see gold break above the declining cycle trend line to confirm a new daily cycle.

Once gold does so, it should also mean a new intermediate cycle has commenced.

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7 responses to “The 12/24 Morning Update”

  1. likesbullmarkets Avatar
    likesbullmarkets

    MERRY CRISTMAS to all
    And thanks LM

  2. jabalong Avatar
    jabalong

    Thanks to you for this site. Have a merry christmas and all the best in the new year.

  3. At Ease Avatar

    Merry Christmas LM to you and yours! Thanks for the great work and look forward to a prosperous New Year!

  4. Jack Dog Avatar
    Jack Dog

    Merry Christmas Likesmoney, may the Holidays shine brightly on everyone.

  5. jamesmarkii Avatar

    Have a Merry Christmas !!
    Keep up the fantastic work !

  6. Joe Avatar
    Joe

    Your “selling on strength” reminder on 12/21/12 was very appropriate and timely. Today there is a first small “buying on strength” but not likely enough to turn the trend yet. Thanks!

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Yes,

      The SPY still sits on top of the “Leader Board” we will need to see where it is at the end of the day.

      Currently it is leaving behind a long lower tail which will ease the parameters to from a swing low tomorrow…

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