Golden Yawner …

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I would have expected a bigger move up in gold considering how big the dollar was down today.

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Wednesday was day 15 for gold’s daily cycle and gold had a yawner of a day.
I suspect that gold maybe sniffing out the impending dollar rally.
It is interesting to note that the timing band for a low for gold is still out in front of us and gold appeared on the selling on strength list today with a 47.91 million print.

So the dollar had a big day down and pierced the 79 level.

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Wednesday was day 23 for the dollar’s daily cycle.
The dollar’s daily cycle normally runs 18 – 25 days from trough to trough so each passing day increases the likelihood of the dollar printing a low.
Today the dollar eased the parameters of forming a swing low.
A break above 79.22 forms the swing low.

The dollar’s daily cycle peaked on day 19 which suggests that this will be print as a right translated daily cycle.

We believe that the dollar printed an intermediate cycle low on 9/14.
That was followed by a right translated daily cycle.
So the expectation is that once a bottom forms the dollar will need to rally to above 80.42 to form a weekly swing low.

That should send gold to seek out its intermediate cycle low…

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7 responses to “Golden Yawner …”

  1. angelo851 Avatar
    angelo851

    Is there some site where one can follow the Schaff cycle indicator for free? I use TDAmeritrade Think or Swim for trading but I don’t see that indicator there. I also have Stockcharts.com and FreeStockCharts.com but don’t see the indicator there either. Thanks.

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Angelo,

      I use http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/usdollar-index/ when I want to check on our friend the Schaff Trend Cycle

      LM

  2. nikeboy 2008 Avatar
    nikeboy 2008

    Thank you for the update

  3. vorfahrt Avatar
    vorfahrt

    Yup today all but confirmed your view. Awesome report! Thanks.

  4. Aaron Avatar
    Aaron

    What are your thoughts on TLT, does the action change or favor one IC over the other? This almost looks like a daily cycle low kind of action.

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Nothing definite.
      A break above 125 would have me me label this week 5.
      A break below 121 would have me label this week 9.

  5. Paul_K Avatar
    Paul_K

    Thank you for your great reports. I check with you daily. Since this is expected to be an intermediate decline as well as a daily decline for GOLD…., where would you draw that intermediate trend line? http://www21.adrive.com/filemanager/downloadfile/64402540
    Thanks for your help.

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