All Aboard …

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The dollar formed a swing high today, which was day 9.

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This looks like a daily cycle top.
The dollar never broke above the declining trend line to confirm a new intermediate cycle.
I now expect to see the dollar trend lower over the next 2 – 3 weeks into not only a daily cycle low, but an intermediate cycle low.

Keep in mind that the dollar has a tendency to plunge into intermediate cycle lows sending precious metals soaring.

The Miners formed a swing low today.

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With a swing low and trend line break, that makes Thursday day 1 for the new daily cycle.

I suspect we can expect to see the Miners rally as long as the dollar is seeking out its low.

Same can be said for silver

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Silver also formed a swing low and had a trend line break.

And let’s not forget gold.

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What I want to point out with gold is that it had a rather shallow correction of 48 points.

That is something that we will need to pay attention to going forward if we start to witness shallow corrections.

So this looks to be day one for gold and precious metals.
As I stated earlier, I suspect to see the precious metals complex rallying until the dollar finds its bottom in 2 – 3 weeks.

So it looks like gold is leaving the station …

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12 responses to “All Aboard …”

  1. Joe Avatar
    Joe

    L.M. – Thanks for the awesome analysis. This is it IMO. I stayed long with the PMs thru this week’s correction and will exit after the ~next two wekks. This is where a lot of money can be made and lost – I expect a wild swing up in the PMs and then a wild swing down after the US$ intermediate trend changes.

  2. nikeboy 2008 Avatar
    nikeboy 2008

    Thank you for your update

  3. IheartMrs.Seaver Avatar
    IheartMrs.Seaver

    Thanks, LM!!

  4. ALEX Avatar
    ALEX

    May I add that on the technical side —GDX regained its 10sma and volume starting coming into the move nicely…UUP looked extremely sickly weak on this whole bear flag volume-wise and hit near the overhead 20sma and just couldnt muster up any strength to break above. SLOW Stochastics is overbought and rolling over : ] The dollar looks ready to fall from that view too.

    I Agree , and as always …Thanks for you report L.M.!

    ALEX

  5. […] 57 All Aboard … | Cycle Trading […]

  6. Cédric, Avatar
    Cédric,

    Very interesting report as always, thank you LM !
    Cédric from Paris,

  7. Trond Avatar
    Trond

    Massive $-reversal on the PMI numbers. LM, how does this change the situation?

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      This is (loud) noise unless the dollar breaks above Wednesday’s high.

  8. Trond Avatar

    Those bullish $ vs Canadian and Aussie dollar -patterns are playing out…

  9. peterparker Avatar
    peterparker

    Thanks for the post. Clicking a few ad’s to support!

    1. IheartMrs.Seaver Avatar
      IheartMrs.Seaver

      Parker, That’s called click fraud, and Google’s computers know the difference between real clicks and pretend ones….just hit the donate button if ya wanna support the author. 🙂

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