Bottoms Up …

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Equities and commodities may have bottomed and be ready to move up.

Equities rallied enough today to make a higher high over yesterday.

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So equities formed a swing low on Thursday.
That was either day 46 or potentially day 1 of the new daily cycle.
It may be a bit premature to break out the champagne to toast a new daily cycle.
Equities are in the later stages of the timing band to print a low.
But the 230 million selling on strength today suggests that the bottom may not be in yet.
Confirmation that this swing low is the daily cycle low will happen with a break above the declining cycle trend line.

While there is some question of whether or not a daily cycle low has printed for equities, the pictures is clearer for the Miners.

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A definite break above the declining cycle trend line accompanied by a swing low confirms a new daily cycle for the Miners.

This leaves behind a 12 day daily cycle for the Miners.

Although on the early end, Miners daily cycles run from 12 – 19 days from trough to trough.

Both equities and commodities appear ready to rally, what is needed to complete this equation is for the dollar to roll over.

The dollar typically prints a left translated cycle when the dollar peaks before day 10.

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The dollar closed above the 80 level but printed an inside day.

This 80 level has been a historically significant level for the dollar.

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With the dollar closing above the 80 level for the second straight day,
Bernanke may be forced to show his hand…

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12 responses to “Bottoms Up …”

  1. smartbullion Avatar
    smartbullion

    love your work, LM

  2. jeff Avatar
    jeff

    great job lm

  3. Adam Clark Avatar

    great analysis, love the bernanke piccy

  4. Drew Avatar
    Drew

    great report as usual LM…. thanks

  5. Jack Dog Avatar
    Jack Dog

    Likesmoney.
    Here we are again tonight and the dollar is above 80.00 again. Somebody has to blink, ” BOO ” . Maybe that did it!
    Great report, Jack Dog

  6. ALEX Avatar
    ALEX

    THX L.M.
    Love you r work and appreciate all that goes into your reports. (on the dollar, I was thinking earlier , “Hey look a topping candle–Doji”—-Then I saw that You pointed out the ‘inside day ‘)…sweet. Thx again!

    Alex

  7. likesmoneystudies Avatar
    likesmoneystudies

    I have to say, the strength of this daily cycle for the dollar is more than what I would expect unless this is the first daily cycle of a new intermediate cycle.

    I discussed this possibility in The Weekend Report Part 1. https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/2012/05/05/the-54-weekend-report/

    I was just looking at the weekly dollar chart and this looks like week one of a new intermediate cycle.

    I plan to go over this in the weekend report.

    1. jeff Avatar
      jeff

      any updates with your schaff cycle indicator. How is it working?

      1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
        likesmoneystudies

        Jeff,

        The STC broke above the 25 line on day 3 for the dollar’s current daily cycle.
        By then the dollar had a swing low and a trend line break so I did not comment on the STC.

        The STC crossed above the 75 line on day 4 (that was quick).

        Currently, the STC is above the 75 line, and still rising.

  8. Jack Dog Avatar
    Jack Dog

    Crap, scared the wrong one, sorry gang

    Jack Dog.

  9. Jack Dog Avatar
    Jack Dog

    Likesmoney,

    Do we need a 79.9 to get a swing in the dollar?

    Jack Dog

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Jack Dog,

      Because of the higher high, the soonest the dollar can print a swing high is now Monday.

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