Cycle Trading

Dollar

• Daily: Early stabilization attempts.
• Weekly: A bullish reversal places a potential intermediate cycle low in focus.

• Monthly: Sitting in a major long-term timing window where a multi-year turn could emerge.

Stocks

• Daily: Running into resistance as the Dollar attempts to stabilize — short-term risk rising.
• Weekly: Broader uptrend remains intact, but sensitive to Dollar direction.
• Monthly: Long-term structure holds, though Dollar strength remains a key variable.

Gold

• Daily: Pullback underway as Dollar stabilization adds pressure.
• Weekly: Momentum slowing with Dollar action acting as a potential headwind.
• Monthly: Still structurally bullish, but long-term outcomes hinge on Dollar resolution.

Miners

• Daily: Near-term weakness emerging as Dollar firms.
• Weekly: Cooling momentum mirrors Dollar uncertainty.
• Monthly: Long-term trend remains positive despite short-term Dollar risk.

Oil

• Daily: Strong rally has stalled as Dollar action becomes more influential.
• Weekly: Breakout improving trend strength, though Dollar moves may affect follow-through.
• Monthly: Early-stage turn remains possible, with Dollar direction key to sustainability.

Bonds

• Daily: Increased volatility as Dollar attempts to base.
• Weekly: Stabilization efforts align with Dollar inflection risks.
• Monthly: Downtrend remains dominant, but Dollar strength could reinforce it.

Takeaway:

With the Dollar at a potential turning point, this is a moment where inter-market relationships matter — and cycle positioning across timeframes becomes especially important. The goal of the Weekend Report is to develop an ongoing framework of expectations using cycle analysis. It covers the Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Miners, Oil, and Bonds, analyzing daily, weekly, and yearly cycles to help put short-term moves into proper context.