Stocks have now completed the first daily cycle of the second intermediate cycle, and the timing implications are becoming increasingly important.
January marks month 9 of the current yearly cycle, which places equities firmly inside the historical window where yearly cycle declines begin to emerge.
At the same time, stocks have entered their second intermediate cycle of the year, shifting the focus from upside momentum to cycle structure and risk management.
Recent price action has already delivered early warning signals, including:
- A break below the lower daily cycle band
- A developing weekly swing high during a mature intermediate cycle
These signals do not guarantee immediate downside—but they do raise the probability that future daily cycles may left translate and fail, a condition that often precedes both intermediate and yearly cycle lows.
As we move deeper into the year, the timing bands for the intermediate cycle low and the yearly cycle low are beginning to align. Whether this decline unfolds through a failed daily cycle—or requires another daily cycle first—will be critical in determining the market’s path into spring and early summer.
In My Special Report: Intermediate Cycle Expectations I discuss:
- Cycle structure across daily, intermediate, and yearly timeframes
- Historical duration statistics
- What left-translated cycles signal—and what they don’t
- The key levels and confirmations to watch as this cycle progresses
This week I am offering a special 6 week trial subscription, along with the Special Report – Intermediate Cycle Expectations $15. Your 6 week trial subscription you will give you full access to the premium site which includes:
1) The Weekend Report, which is posted usually Saturday mornings. It discusses Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Miners, Oil, & Bonds in terms of daily, weekly and yearly cycles – Which includes the Likesmoney Cycle Tracker.
2) The Mid-Week Update. Posted on Wednesday’s is a review of the daily charts for the above mentioned asset classes.
3) The Weekend Updates take a look of the daily & weekly charts of BTC, DAX, Copper, NATGAS & XLE.
4) Weekly Update of the Bullish Percentile Bingo
5) Frequent updates of my proprietary Buy/Sell Indicators for GDX & FAS, FBTC, & XLE.
The goal of the Weekend Report is to develop an on-going framework of expectations using cycle analysis. Click here for the report and trial subscription.
Cycle Trading 
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