Cycle Trading

Stocks broke the previous daily cycle low on Monday.

Breaking below the previous DCL forms a failed daily cycle and extends the intermediate (weekly) cycle decline. At 15 days, stocks could trend lower for another 15 – 25 days before printing their DCL. Sentiment is very bearish and a technical level has been broken which would align with stocks declining for another 3 – 5 weeks.

The previous daily cycle ran long, so we could see a shortened daily cycle form here, which would balance out the cycle counts. Stocks are overdue for both a weekly and yearly cycle low. So if this undercut reverses quickly and closes above 3943.32, it could mark the daily, weekly and yearly cycle low.