Miner Backtest

The Miners formed a swing low on Tuesday to indicate a potential early daily cycle low. And with the Miners currently in a daily uptrend, the swing low offers a low risk entry.

But today, I want to look at the longer term weekly chart.

The Miners were held under the 25 level for over 2.5 years until they finally closed above the level 2 weeks ago.

The current decline into the daily cycle low is allowing the Miners to backtest the long term resistance level, as seen in the above weekly chart. The Miners are currently in a weekly uptrend. If the Miners can form a bullish weekly reversal this week followed by a weekly swing low next week then the Miners will remain in their weekly uptrend and give a weekly cycle band buy signal.

4 responses to “Miner Backtest”

  1. Alex Avatar
    Alex

    Hasn’t dxy just started a new Intermediate Cycle?

    1. Alex Avatar
      Alex

      A bull trap in metals tomorrow as dxy retraces to 10dma before resuming its very early IC advance ?
      If dxy commenced its IC advance last week, are metals about to start their YC decline ? To remember that last YCL of gold was in August

      1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
        likesmoneystudies

        True, but the dollar is late in its timing band for a yearly cycle decline.

      2. Alex Avatar
        Alex

        Thank you!

        I’ve just looked into the weekly chart of USDJPY and I see that the Intermediary cycle [has] run 25 weeks with 2 prior FAILED weekly swing lows while this week it’s the 3rd weekly sw.low and a bullish divergence with osciallators –> most likely UJ now early in a fresh Intermediary Cycle (10dma has been set as support already).

        Under these circumstances, it may be the case that DXY may set its YCH around the 18-Sep FOMC, i.e. to run up for another 10-week span and then head down in a failed [current] Intermediary Cycle.

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