Intermediate Support

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Stocks closed lower once again. But I am starting to see signals of an impending daily cycle low.

spx daily

The large Buying on Weakness number and the bullish divergence on the True Strength Indicator are 2 signs signaling that the daily cycle low is imminent. The reversal into the close has eased the parameters for forming a daily swing low. A break above 2044.21 will form a daily swing low which at this point will likely mark the daily cycle low.

If a swing low forms tomorrow, then stocks would have remained above the lower daily cycle band. Which means that stocks would remain in a daily uptrend.

And on the weekly chart stocks are approaching Intermediate Support.

spx weekly

Stocks peaked on week 10 and have formed a weekly swing high. The daily cycle decline has stocks testing the 50 week MA. If a daily cycle low forms here that will allow stocks to remain above the 50 week MA. It would also set the intermediate cycle trend line.

2 responses to “Intermediate Support”

  1. Gregory Ewanizky Avatar
    Gregory Ewanizky

    Thanks for your work. What is the longest DCL you’ve seen in stocks? Are we getting to be way over 36 to 45 days?

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      Emerging from the 2009 bear market low there were some QE fueled cycles that ran long. A 53 day cycle printed its DCL in 5/2009. And then a 61 day cycle printed its DCL in 5/2010. Now February just saw a 60 day DCL and here we are likely to confirm a 67 day DCL. This makes me wonder if there is a stealth QE going taking place …

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