10/09 Morning Update

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The dollar broke (marginally) through the declining trend line overnight.
It appears that this is day 2 of a new daily cycle.

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It is interesting to note that so far the dollar is being held in check by the previous daily cycle trend line.

So if, in fact, this is day 2 of a new daily cycle, then this would be the 2 nd daily cycle in what could be a new intermediate cycle.

It is just we do not yet have confirmation of a new intermediate cycle.

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The weekly chart shows the dollar is into the 4 th week of consolidating the 8 week sell off.
No swing low and declining trend line break has printed to confirm a new intermediate cycle.

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It appears that gold has now broken below its rising trend line.
At day 9, this could signal 2 – 3 weeks of selling.

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7 responses to “10/09 Morning Update”

  1. IheartMrs.Seaver Avatar
    IheartMrs.Seaver

    Thanks for the timely update, LM.

  2. nikeboy 2008 Avatar
    nikeboy 2008

    Thank you for the update LM

  3. angelo851 Avatar
    angelo851

    Shouldn’t your dollar daily trendline start in late July when $USD hit a high of $84.10?

  4. greco8088 Avatar

    I appreciate the way that you analyze the situation without bullish or bearish bias. You just call it as you see it on the chart. Situations change and we have to be sensitive and be willing to let go of our hopes and fears. The best we can do as technicians is to respect the chart.

    Thank you for sharing your first class analysis.

  5. bryan Avatar
    bryan

    AAPL failed daily cycle (9/12) indicating ndx market looking for intermediate cycle low. topped out after 8 days. daily cycle trendline is near. I don’t follow many individual stocks, but AAPL is a must and usually gives clues to overall market.

    I’d like to send a US Dollar chart, is there an e-mail address?
    I have a slightly different approach to cycles based on the studies of JM HURST.

    What is the basis for your cycle work?

    bryan

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies
  6. vorfahrt Avatar
    vorfahrt

    Thanks for the update!

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