Anticipation …

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We continue to await to hear what Bernanke will say on Friday and how the markets will react.
I do not think that he will announce Q3 three (of whatever he will call it)

So let’s look at a few charts.

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The dollar looks to have printed a low last Thursday and now seems to be waiting on Ben before confirming a new daily cycle. A break above the declining cycle trend line confirms a new daily cycle.

The other scenario would be for the dollar to have a panic drop. At this late stage in the daily cycle such a drop would likely be short and reversed quickly.

Both scenarios call for the dollar to rally.

A rallying dollar will likely send equities lower.

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Stocks closed below the 1400 level for the first time since early August.
Stocks have peaked on day 20 and have been in decline since brining equities to day 27 today.

If the dollar does begin to rally that will likely send stocks lower still.

— The Miners are getting to the latter stage of their timing band for a low.

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Miners tend to print daily cycle lows for right translated cycles every 16 – 28 days.

At this late stage, a swing low for the Miners should be bought because it will likely mark the daily cycle low.

So now we wait until tomorrow to see what tricks Ben may have …

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6 responses to “Anticipation …”

  1. […] 590 SF… regarding miners… Anticipation … | Cycle Trading […]

  2. likesmoneystudies Avatar
    likesmoneystudies

    Looks like the Miners formed a swing low accompanied by a trend line break.

  3. greco8088 Avatar

    So is it likely that gold and silver daily cycle has bottomed? I guess September would be strong for the sector ?

  4. IheartMrs.Seaver Avatar
    IheartMrs.Seaver

    Gold made a lower low as well as making a new high in the same day. How do you interpret this, when it happens so late in a daily cycle, LM?

    1. likesmoneystudies Avatar
      likesmoneystudies

      IheartMrs.Seaver,

      I am glad that you spotted that. By gold making a lower low, it delivered an action that was different than our framework was anticipating.
      I will explain in the weekend report (Which is what I am busy working on right now!)

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